# Reasoning for Moody's Adjusted Leverage Trend Analysis for EDF 2022 To assess leverage trends, I need to examine key financial metrics and how they changed year-over-year. ## Key Leverage Metrics **Gross Debt Position:** - Current Financial Liabilities (2023): 71.844 billion EUR - Current Financial Liabilities (2022): 45.014 billion EUR - Non-current Financial Liabilities (2023): 71.058 billion EUR - Non-current Financial Liabilities (2022): 56.543 billion EUR - **Total Debt (2023):** ~142.9 billion EUR - **Total Debt (2022):** ~101.6 billion EUR - **Change:** +41.3 billion EUR (+40.6%) **Equity Position:** - Total Equity (2023): 46.612 billion EUR - Total Equity (2022): 61.989 billion EUR - **Change:** -15.4 billion EUR (-24.8%) **Operating Performance:** - EBITDA (Operating Profit Before Depreciation - 2022): -4.986 billion EUR - EBITDA (2021): 18.005 billion EUR - Operating Loss (2022): -19.363 billion EUR - Net Loss (2022): -17.940 billion EUR (attributable to parent) ## Adjusted Leverage Analysis **Debt-to-Equity Ratio:** - 2022: 101.6 / 61.989 = 1.64x - 2023: 142.9 / 46.612 = 3.07x - **Deterioration: 1.43x increase** **Debt-to-EBITDA:** - 2022: Cannot calculate meaningfully due to negative EBITDA - The company moved from positive EBITDA of 18 billion EUR in 2021 to negative 5 billion EUR in 2022 **Operating Cash Flow:** - Operating Cash Flow (2022): -7.425 billion EUR - Operating Cash Flow (2021): +12.648 billion EUR - **Deterioration of 20.1 billion EUR** ## Key Drivers of Deterioration 1. **Massive Operating Losses:** The 24.4 billion EUR swing from 18 billion EUR profit to -6 billion EUR loss in operating results 2. **Fuel and Energy Costs Surge:** Fuel and Energy expenses jumped from 44.3 billion to 121 billion EUR, a 173% increase 3. **Significant Debt Increase:** 41.3 billion EUR of new debt was raised 4. **Equity Erosion:** 15.4 billion EUR equity decline due to losses 5. **Negative Cash Flow:** Operating cash flow turned deeply negative ## Moody's Perspective Moody's adjusted leverage typically focuses on: - Net debt to adjusted EBITDA - The ability to service debt - Operating performance trends - Capital structure changes All of these metrics show significant deterioration in 2022, driven primarily by the energy crisis impact on EDF's fuel costs and energy procurement expenses. Deteriorating