## Reasoning Moody's adjusted leverage is typically measured as Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA. Let me estimate these figures for both years to determine the trend. ### Adjusted Debt Moody's typically includes: - Total reported debt (short-term + long-term borrowings) - Lease liabilities (operating and finance) - Pension obligations and other adjustments **End of 2021 (2022-01-01):** - Long-term borrowings: 5,805M - Current borrowings: 1,324M - Current overdrafts: 351M - Non-current lease liabilities: 1,473M - Current lease liabilities: 362M - Total debt + leases: 5,805 + 1,324 + 351 + 1,473 + 362 = 9,315M **End of 2022 (2023-01-01):** - Long-term borrowings: 11,586M - Current borrowings: 1,361M - Current overdrafts: 418M - Non-current lease liabilities: 2,107M - Current lease liabilities: 498M - Total debt + leases: 11,586 + 1,361 + 418 + 2,107 + 498 = 15,970M This is a massive increase in debt, largely driven by the acquisition activity (€6.27B in cash used for obtaining control of subsidiaries in 2022, likely the Equans acquisition). ### Adjusted EBITDA Moody's adjusted EBITDA typically starts with operating profit and adds back D&A, and makes other adjustments. **FY2021 (2021-01-01 to 2022-01-01):** - Operating profit: 1,733M - D&A: 2,065M - ROU depreciation: 353M - EBITDA (approximate): 1,733 + 2,065 + 353 = 4,151M - Less lease depreciation for Moody's (they may subtract lease payments instead): Moody's typically adds back lease depreciation but then also treats lease payments as debt service. For leverage, they include leases in debt and include lease-related EBITDA. - Approximate Moody's EBITDA: ~4,151M **FY2022 (2022-01-01 to 2023-01-01):** - Operating profit: 1,872M - D&A: 2,228M - ROU depreciation: 446M - EBITDA (approximate): 1,872 + 2,228 + 446 = 4,546M ### Leverage Calculation **End of 2021:** - Adjusted Debt / EBITDA ≈ 9,315 / 4,151 ≈ 2.2x **End of 2022:** - Adjusted Debt / EBITDA ≈ 15,970 / 4,546 ≈ 3.5x The leverage has increased significantly from approximately 2.2x to 3.5x. This is a substantial deterioration, primarily driven by the large increase in debt related to the Equans acquisition (goodwill jumped from €7.4B to €12.6B, and total assets went from €44.6B to €60.6B). Net debt went from €941M to €7,440M. Even though EBITDA grew modestly, the debt increase far outpaced earnings growth, leading to a clear deterioration in leverage metrics. Deteriorating