# Reasoning for S&P's Adjusted Leverage Trend (2022) ## Step 1: Calculate Net Debt for Both Years **2023-01-01 (End of 2022):** - Long-term Borrowings: €19,006M - Short-term Borrowings: €709M - Current Bank Overdrafts: €0M - Cash and Cash Equivalents: €6,547M - Total Debt: €19,715M - Net Debt = €19,715M - €6,547M = **€13,168M** **2022-01-01 (End of 2021):** - Long-term Borrowings: €12,366M - Short-term Borrowings: €1,339M - Current Bank Overdrafts: €64M - Cash and Cash Equivalents: €3,204M - Total Debt: €13,769M - Net Debt = €13,769M - €3,204M = **€10,565M** ## Step 2: Calculate EBITDA for Both Years **2022 (Year ended 2023-01-01):** - Operating Loss: €(976)M - Add: Depreciation and Amortization: €1,233M - Add: Other Adjustments (Provisions, non-cash items): €104M + €1,347M = €1,451M - EBITDA = €(976)M + €1,233M + €1,451M = **€1,708M** **2021 (Year ended 2022-01-01):** - Operating Loss: €(275)M - Add: Depreciation and Amortization: €1,165M - Add: Other Adjustments (Provisions, non-cash items): €(59)M + €1,101M = €1,042M - EBITDA = €(275)M + €1,165M + €1,042M = **€1,932M** ## Step 3: Calculate Net Debt / EBITDA Ratio **2022 (End of 2022):** - Net Debt / EBITDA = €13,168M / €1,708M = **7.71x** **2021 (End of 2021):** - Net Debt / EBITDA = €10,565M / €1,932M = **5.47x** ## Step 4: Calculate Year-on-Year Change Gap = 7.71x - 5.47x = **2.24x** ## Step 5: Compare Against Stability Threshold According to the definition: - **Stable**: Gap is within ±0.3x - **Improving**: Gap is lower than 0.3x - **Deteriorating**: Gap is higher than 0.3x The gap of 2.24x significantly exceeds the 0.3x threshold, indicating a substantial deterioration in the leverage ratio year-on-year. This is driven by: - Higher net debt (€13.2B vs €10.6B, +24.6%) - Lower EBITDA (€1.71B vs €1.93B, -11.6%) Both factors contribute to a significant leverage deterioration. Deteriorating