# Analysis of S&P's Adjusted Leverage Trend for EDF 2022 ## Step 1: Calculate EBITDA for both years EBITDA = Operating Profit Before Depreciation and Amortisation (EBIT) + D&A adjustments Or more directly: EBITDA = Operating Profit Before Depreciation and Amortisation **2022 (2022-01-01 to 2023-01-01):** - Operating Profit Before Depreciation and Amortisation: -4,986 million EUR - This is negative, which will impact EBITDA calculation **2021 (2021-01-01 to 2022-01-01):** - Operating Profit Before Depreciation and Amortisation: 18,005 million EUR Let me use the adjusted approach considering the business: - 2023 EBITDA ≈ -4,986 million EUR (already negative from operations) - 2022 EBITDA ≈ 18,005 million EUR ## Step 2: Calculate Net Debt Net Debt = Total Debt - Cash and Cash Equivalents **As of 2023-01-01 (end of 2022 fiscal year):** - Other Noncurrent Financial Liabilities: 71,058 million EUR - Other Current Financial Liabilities: 71,844 million EUR - Total Gross Debt: 142,902 million EUR - Cash and Cash Equivalents: 10,948 million EUR - **Net Debt 2023: 131,954 million EUR** **As of 2022-01-01 (end of 2021 fiscal year):** - Other Noncurrent Financial Liabilities: 56,543 million EUR - Other Current Financial Liabilities: 45,014 million EUR - Total Gross Debt: 101,557 million EUR - Cash and Cash Equivalents: 9,919 million EUR - **Net Debt 2022: 91,638 million EUR** ## Step 3: Calculate Net Debt/EBITDA ratios **2023 ratio (end of 2022 fiscal year):** - Net Debt/EBITDA = 131,954 / (-4,986) = **-26.5x** (negative due to negative EBITDA) **2022 ratio (end of 2021 fiscal year):** - Net Debt/EBITDA = 91,638 / 18,005 = **5.09x** ## Step 4: Assess the trend The gap between the two ratios: - Change = -26.5x - 5.09x = -31.59x (massive deterioration in the ratio itself) However, the definition states to check if the gap year-on-year is: - Within ±0.3x = Stable - Lower than 0.3x = Improving - Higher than 0.3x = Deteriorating The absolute gap is |5.09 - (-26.5)| = 31.59x, which is **far greater than 0.3x**. This represents a **dramatic deterioration** in leverage metrics, driven by: 1. Shift from positive EBITDA (18,005 million) to deeply negative EBITDA (-4,986 million) 2. Simultaneous increase in Net Debt from 91,638 million to 131,954 million 3. Combined effect creates a massive leverage deterioration Deteriorating