## Assessment of Fortum Oyj's Suitability for Hybrid Bond Issuance ### Company Profile Fortum Oyj is a Finnish public limited liability company headquartered in Espoo, Finland. It operates in the energy sector. ### Financial Analysis **Revenue and Profitability (Continuing Operations):** - Revenue grew from €6.4B (2021) to €8.8B (2022), a 37% increase - Comparable Operating Profit increased from €1.43B to €1.87B, showing solid operational performance - Comparable EBITDA rose from €2.0B to €2.4B - However, IFRS operating profit declined from €4.3B to €1.3B due to negative items affecting comparability (-€593M in 2022 vs. +€2.9B in 2021) **Major Concerns - Discontinued Operations:** - Massive losses from discontinued operations: -€11.3B in 2022 (likely related to Uniper divestiture/write-down) - Total net loss of -€10.3B in 2022 - Loss attributable to owners: -€2.4B in 2022 **Balance Sheet:** - Total assets collapsed from €149.7B to €23.6B (reflecting deconsolidation of Uniper) - Equity dropped from €13.7B to €7.7B - Equity attributable to owners: €7.7B (from €12.1B) - Retained earnings declined from €10.1B to €6.5B - Significant leverage: Total liabilities €15.9B vs equity €7.7B **Cash Flow:** - Operating cash flow from continuing operations: €2.1B (positive) - Significant cash outflows from discontinued operations: -€10.9B operating - Net decrease in cash: -€3.7B - Still maintains €3.9B in liquid funds **Debt Profile:** - Non-current financial liabilities: €3.7B - Current financial liabilities: €4.1B - Large derivative positions (both assets and liabilities) ### Hybrid Bond Suitability Assessment **Positive Factors:** - Large, established utility company with state ownership (Finnish state) - Strong continuing operations with improving comparable profitability - Positive operating cash flow from continuing operations - Investment-grade profile historically - Continuing dividend payments (€0.91/share proposed) - Post-Uniper, the company is significantly smaller but cleaner **Negative Factors:** - Massive losses from Uniper situation significantly impaired equity - Equity ratio is weakened (about 33%) - Significant uncertainty from the Uniper divestiture aftermath - Retained earnings declined substantially - The company is in a transitional phase **Hybrid Bond Rationale:** Hybrid bonds are typically issued by investment-grade companies looking to strengthen their equity credit metrics without full dilution. Fortum, as a major utility with strong continuing operations but weakened equity following the Uniper crisis, could benefit from hybrid bonds to shore up its capital structure. However, the significant losses and transitional nature of the business create uncertainty. The continuing operations remain profitable and cash-generative, and the company maintains significant scale. Fortum has actually been an issuer of hybrid bonds historically. The company has a viable core business but its balance sheet has been stressed. Hybrid bonds could help improve credit metrics, but the risk profile has increased. The company is marginally suitable - it has the operational strength but the balance sheet damage and transitional risks temper the assessment. Marginally Suitable