To estimate the S&P adjusted leverage trend for VERBUND AG, we need to calculate the Net Debt / EBITDA ratio for the fiscal years ending 2022 (period 2021-01-01 to 2022-01-01) and 2023 (period 2022-01-01 to 2023-01-01). **Step 1: Identify EBITDA** From the provided facts: * EBITDA 2021 (FY2021): 1,578,959,000 EUR * EBITDA 2022 (FY2022): 3,160,679,000 EUR **Step 2: Calculate Net Debt** Net Debt is typically defined as Total Financial Liabilities (Current + Noncurrent) minus Cash and Cash Equivalents. We use the balance sheet data at the end of each period. * **For Year End 2021 (2022-01-01 balance sheet represents the end of FY2021? No, standard reporting: "2022-01-01" usually refers to the opening balance of 2022 or closing of 2021. Let's look at the labels carefully.** * The facts list "Noncurrent Financial Liabilities" and "Current Financial Liabilities" with dates 2021-01-01, 2022-01-01, and 2023-01-01. * Usually, annual reports provide closing balances. * Date `2021-01-01`: Closing balance of 2020 / Opening 2021. * Date `2022-01-01`: Closing balance of 2021 / Opening 2022. * Date `2023-01-01`: Closing balance of 2022 / Opening 2023. * The EBITDA figures are for periods: * "2021-01-01 - 2022-01-01": This is Fiscal Year 2021. We should pair this with the Net Debt at the end of this period, which is the balance sheet date `2022-01-01`. * "2022-01-01 - 2023-01-01": This is Fiscal Year 2022. We should pair this with the Net Debt at the end of this period, which is the balance sheet date `2023-01-01`. * **Net Debt at 2022-01-01 (End of FY2021):** * Noncurrent Financial Liabilities: 1,834,155,000 EUR * Current Financial Liabilities: 1,462,453,000 EUR * Total Financial Liabilities: 1,834,155,000 + 1,462,453,000 = 3,296,608,000 EUR * Cash and Cash Equivalents: 318,562,000 EUR * Net Debt 2021 = 3,296,608,000 - 318,562,000 = 2,978,046,000 EUR * **Net Debt at 2023-01-01 (End of FY2022):** * Noncurrent Financial Liabilities: 2,844,559,000 EUR * Current Financial Liabilities: 1,109,297,000 EUR * Total Financial Liabilities: 2,844,559,000 + 1,109,297,000 = 3,953,856,000 EUR * Cash and Cash Equivalents: 409,252,000 EUR * Net Debt 2022 = 3,953,856,000 - 409,252,000 = 3,544,604,000 EUR **Step 3: Calculate Leverage Ratios (Net Debt / EBITDA)** * **Leverage 2021 (FY2021):** * Net Debt: 2,978,046,000 EUR * EBITDA: 1,578,959,000 EUR * Ratio = 2,978,046,000 / 1,578,959,000 ≈ **1.89x** * **Leverage 2022 (FY2022):** * Net Debt: 3,544,604,000 EUR * EBITDA: 3,160,679,000 EUR * Ratio = 3,544,604,000 / 3,160,679,000 ≈ **1.12x** **Step 4: Determine the Trend** * Change in Ratio = Leverage 2022 - Leverage 2021 * Change = 1.12x - 1.89x = **-0.77x** The definition provided states: * **Stable**: Gap is among ± 0.3x (i.e., between -0.3x and +0.3x). * **Improving**: Gap is lower than 0.3x. Note: In leverage contexts, a *decrease* in leverage is an improvement. The prompt says "if the gap ... is lower than 0.3x is improving". This phrasing is slightly ambiguous. Usually, "lower than -0.3x" would mean a significant drop. Let's re-read carefully: "if the gap of the ratio Net Debt / EBITDA year on year is lower than 0.3x is improving. If higher is Deteriorating." * This likely implies: * Gap < -0.3x: Improving (Leverage went down significantly) * -0.3x <= Gap <= 0.3x: Stable * Gap > 0.3x: Deteriorating (Leverage went up significantly) * Alternatively, it could mean absolute value, but "lower than 0.3x" usually refers to the algebraic value in these automated logic prompts. However, standard financial interpretation: * Leverage dropped from 1.89x to 1.12x. This is a significant reduction in debt relative to earnings. This is a positive credit development. * The gap is -0.77x. * Is -0.77x "lower than 0.3x"? Yes, -0.77 < 0.3. * Does this fit the "Improving" category? Yes, a large negative gap means leverage decreased, which is improving. Let's double check the "Stable" definition: "gap ... is among ± 0.3x". This means if the change is between -0.3 and +0.3, it is stable. The change is -0.77. This is outside the stable range. Since the leverage decreased (negative change), the credit profile is improving. Therefore, the trend is Improving. Improving