To estimate the credit trend for ERG S.p.A. between 2021 and 2022, we follow the S&P methodology for the Unregulated Power and Gas industry. ### 1. Industry Identification ERG S.p.A. is an integrated energy company focused on renewable power generation (wind, solar, etc.), which aligns with the "Unregulated Power and Gas" methodology. ### 2. & 3. 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and FFO * **Reported EBITDA:** 396,680,000 EUR * **Cash Interest:** Finance costs (218,758,000) - Finance income (167,793,000) = 50,965,000 EUR (Net). Using the reported "Finance Income Cost" net figure: 50,964,000 EUR. * **Cash Taxes:** 31,981,000 EUR * **Adjusted EBITDA (2021):** 396,680,000 EUR * **FFO (2021):** 396,680,000 - 50,964,000 - 31,981,000 = **313,735,000 EUR** ### 4. 2021 Adjusted Debt * **Reported Debt (Noncurrent + Current Financial Liabilities):** 2,064,088,000 + 150,955,000 (Lease) + 170,857,000 + 1,342,688,000 = 3,728,588,000 EUR * **Less Cash:** 860,352,000 EUR * **Adjusted Debt (2021):** 2,868,236,000 EUR ### 5. & 6. 2021 Ratios * **Debt/EBITDA (2021):** 2,868,236,000 / 396,680,000 = **7.23x** * **FFO/Debt (2021):** 313,735,000 / 2,868,236,000 = **0.109** ### 7. & 8. 2022 Adjusted EBITDA and FFO * **Reported EBITDA:** 499,430,000 EUR * **Cash Interest (Net):** 36,573,000 EUR * **Cash Taxes:** 97,569,000 EUR * **Adjusted EBITDA (2022):** 499,430,000 EUR * **FFO (2022):** 499,430,000 - 36,573,000 - 97,569,000 = **365,288,000 EUR** ### 9. 2022 Adjusted Debt * **Reported Debt (Noncurrent + Current Financial Liabilities):** 1,751,255,000 + 150,955,000 (Lease) + 76,644,000 + 389,716,000 = 2,368,570,000 EUR * **Less Cash:** 392,811,000 EUR * **Adjusted Debt (2022):** 1,975,759,000 EUR ### 10. & 11. 2022 Ratios * **Debt/EBITDA (2022):** 1,975,759,000 / 499,430,000 = **3.96x** * **FFO/Debt (2022):** 365,288,000 / 1,975,759,000 = **0.185** ### 12. Trend Classification * **Signal 1 (Leverage):** 3.96x - 7.23x = **-3.27x** (Significantly ≤ -0.2x, **Improving**) * **Signal 2 (Coverage):** 0.185 - 0.109 = **+0.076** (Significantly ≥ +0.03, **Improving**) Both signals strongly indicate an improving credit trend due to significant deleveraging and improved cash flow generation. Improving