## 1. Relevant industry Acciona S.A. is a diversified infrastructure and renewable energy group. Based on the methodologies provided, its closest fit is **Unregulated Power And Gas**, given its large renewable generation activities, although Acciona also has infrastructure and construction activities. Because the provided data is consolidated and segment detail is not available, I apply the **general corporate baseline formulas**, informed by the unregulated power and gas framework. No special industry-specific adjustments such as proportional consolidation of JVs, PPA adjustments, or protected-revenue volatility-table changes can be reliably quantified from the facts provided. --- ## 2. Estimate 2021 Adjusted EBITDA Reported/reconstructed EBITDA can be estimated as: \[ EBITDA = Operating\ Profit + Depreciation/Amortization/Provisions \] For 2021: - Profit from operating activities = €829m - Depreciation/amortization/provisions = €714m \[ 2021\ EBITDA = 829 + 714 = €1{,}543m \] Lease adjustment: lease liabilities are included in adjusted debt below, but no separate lease interest/depreciation split is provided. Since IFRS EBITDA already excludes depreciation of right-of-use assets, no additional lease EBITDA adjustment is made. No reliable nonrecurring loss/gain, pension, JV proportional EBITDA, or other normalization adjustment is available. \[ \boxed{2021\ Adjusted\ EBITDA = €1{,}543m} \] --- ## 3. Estimate 2021 FFO Baseline formula: \[ FFO = Adjusted\ EBITDA - cash\ interest - cash\ taxes \] For 2021: - Adjusted EBITDA = €1,543m - Interest paid = €206m - Income taxes paid = €82m \[ 2021\ FFO = 1{,}543 - 206 - 82 = €1{,}255m \] \[ \boxed{2021\ FFO = €1{,}255m} \] --- ## 4. Estimate 2021 Adjusted Debt Reported debt is estimated from current and noncurrent financial debt instruments and loans. Lease liabilities are included as debt-like obligations. At 2022-01-01, representing fiscal year-end 2021: Debt components: - Noncurrent bonds/other negotiable securities = €2,364m - Noncurrent loans = €2,073m - Current bonds/other negotiable securities = €1,666m - Current loans/current portion of noncurrent loans = €280m - Noncurrent lease liabilities = €430m - Current lease liabilities = €68m \[ Reported\ debt\ incl.\ leases = 2{,}364 + 2{,}073 + 1{,}666 + 280 + 430 + 68 \] \[ = €6{,}881m \] Eligible cash: - Cash and cash equivalents = €2,318m \[ 2021\ Adjusted\ Debt = 6{,}881 - 2{,}318 = €4{,}563m \] No pension deficit, guarantees, hybrids, or other debt-like items are available from the provided data. \[ \boxed{2021\ Adjusted\ Debt = €4{,}563m} \] --- ## 5. Calculate 2021 Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA \[ Debt/EBITDA = \frac{4{,}563}{1{,}543} = 2.96x \] \[ \boxed{2021\ Adjusted\ Debt / Adjusted\ EBITDA = 2.96x} \] --- ## 6. Calculate 2021 FFO / Adjusted Debt \[ FFO/Debt = \frac{1{,}255}{4{,}563} = 0.275 \] \[ \boxed{2021\ FFO / Adjusted\ Debt = 27.5\%} \] --- ## 7. Estimate 2022 Adjusted EBITDA For 2022: - Profit from operating activities = €1,334m - Depreciation/amortization/provisions = €762m \[ 2022\ EBITDA = 1{,}334 + 762 = €2{,}096m \] No reliable additional S&P adjustments can be quantified from the provided information. \[ \boxed{2022\ Adjusted\ EBITDA = €2{,}096m} \] --- ## 8. Estimate 2022 FFO For 2022: - Adjusted EBITDA = €2,096m - Interest paid = €209m - Income taxes paid = €215m \[ 2022\ FFO = 2{,}096 - 209 - 215 = €1{,}672m \] \[ \boxed{2022\ FFO = €1{,}672m} \] --- ## 9. Estimate 2022 Adjusted Debt At 2023-01-01, representing fiscal year-end 2022: Debt components: - Noncurrent bonds/other negotiable securities = €3,101m - Noncurrent loans = €2,624m - Current bonds/other negotiable securities = €1,139m - Current loans/current portion of noncurrent loans = €553m - Noncurrent lease liabilities = €439m - Current lease liabilities = €72m \[ Reported\ debt\ incl.\ leases = 3{,}101 + 2{,}624 + 1{,}139 + 553 + 439 + 72 \] \[ = €7{,}928m \] Eligible cash: - Cash and cash equivalents = €2,360m \[ 2022\ Adjusted\ Debt = 7{,}928 - 2{,}360 = €5{,}568m \] \[ \boxed{2022\ Adjusted\ Debt = €5{,}568m} \] --- ## 10. Calculate 2022 Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA \[ Debt/EBITDA = \frac{5{,}568}{2{,}096} = 2.66x \] \[ \boxed{2022\ Adjusted\ Debt / Adjusted\ EBITDA = 2.66x} \] --- ## 11. Calculate 2022 FFO / Adjusted Debt \[ FFO/Debt = \frac{1{,}672}{5{,}568} = 0.300 \] \[ \boxed{2022\ FFO / Adjusted\ Debt = 30.0\%} \] --- ## 12. Credit trend classification ### Signal 1: Leverage \[ Change = 2022\ Debt/EBITDA - 2021\ Debt/EBITDA \] \[ = 2.66x - 2.96x = -0.30x \] Threshold: - ≤ -0.2x = Improving \[ \boxed{Leverage\ signal = Improving} \] ### Signal 2: Cash-flow coverage \[ Change = 2022\ FFO/Debt - 2021\ FFO/Debt \] \[ = 0.300 - 0.275 = +0.025 \] Threshold: - Between -0.03 and +0.03 exclusive = Stable \[ \boxed{Cash-flow\ coverage\ signal = Stable} \] ### Combined conclusion One signal is **Improving** and the other is **Stable**, so the non-Stable category applies. Although adjusted debt increased materially from about €4.6bn to €5.6bn, EBITDA and FFO improved strongly enough to reduce leverage by about 0.30x. FFO/debt also improved, though not enough to cross the +3 percentage point threshold. Therefore, the overall credit trend is assessed as **Improving**. Improving