To determine the appropriate level of hybrid bonds for Ørsted A/S, we must evaluate the company's current financial position, its hybrid capital structure, and its future funding needs in the context of the S&P rating methodology. **1. Current Financial Position & Capital Structure:** - **Equity:** As of year-end 2022, Equity attributable to owners of the parent is 71.74 billion DKK, with Noncontrolling Interests of 3.996 billion DKK, totaling ~75.74 billion DKK. - **Hybrid Capital:** Ørsted already has a substantial amount of hybrid capital outstanding, recorded at 19.79 billion DKK. This represents roughly 20.7% of their total equity base. - **Debt:** Total financial debt (Long-term + Short-term borrowings) stands at 63.26 billion DKK (60.45B + 2.83B). - **Total Adjusted Capital:** Assuming standard adjustments, Total Adjusted Capital is approximately 140 billion DKK. The existing 19.79 billion DKK in hybrid capital already constitutes about **14.1%** of total adjusted capital. **2. Current Hybrid Position vs. S&P Cap:** S&P limits the equity credit given to hybrid bonds to a maximum of 15% of total adjusted capital. Ørsted is already very close to this hard cap with its existing hybrid portfolio. Issuing additional hybrids beyond a very small nominal amount would risk breaching the 15% threshold, meaning any new issuance would likely be treated as 100% debt by S&P, negating any leverage optimization benefits. **3. Credit Metrics & Business Profile:** - **Profitability & Cash Flows:** The company is highly profitable, with an EBITDA of 32.05 billion DKK and strong operating cash flows of 11.92 billion DKK. - **Leverage:** FFO to debt remains healthy for an investment-grade utility transitioning to renewables. There is no material downgrade risk that would require aggressive hybrid issuance to stabilize the leverage trajectory. - **Capex Needs:** Ørsted has a large Construction in Progress balance (48.9 billion DKK) reflecting its massive offshore wind pipeline. While this is capital intensive, it is a multi-year program that can be funded through the robust operating cash flows, project finance, and standard debt issuance without exhausting alternatives. - **Cost of Debt:** Given the rising interest rate environment in 2022 (Swap curves increasing significantly), the cost of issuing new hybrid capital would materially increase the company's current blended cost of debt, particularly since they already enjoy favorable pricing on their existing debt stack. **4. Assessment against Guidelines:** - The company already has a massive amount of hybrids in its capital structure (nearly 20 billion DKK), ruling out the "No current hybrid" profile for 0%. - However, due to the 15% S&P cap, further issuance provides virtually no rating flexibility or meaningful improvement in adjusted leverage metrics, as excess hybrids are deducted from equity. - The cost of new hybrids will materially increase the current cost of debt, and there is no urgent, transformational need that requires hitting the absolute 15% cap (which they are practically at already). Given that Ørsted is effectively maxed out on the equity-credit-eligible hybrid capacity already (at ~14.1% of total adjusted capital), issuing further hybrids in the next 18 months makes no strategic sense. Doing so would not improve rating metrics (due to the cap deduction) and would increase the cost of debt materially. Thus, they should be advised to issue 0% in additional hybrids. 0%